Maoist Victory in Nepal Could Prompt New Era for Relations with India

尼泊尔毛派将进政府印度称愿合作

　



India is expressing a willingness to work with the Maoists in Nepal, who are in line to form the new government in Kathmandu, based on election results so far. A Maoist victory could mean a lessening of Indian influence over its smaller neighbor to the north.

　

印度表示愿意跟尼泊尔毛派组织合作。就尼泊尔目前的选举结果看，毛派将会进入尼泊尔新政府。毛派的胜利有可能意味着印度对这个北部邻国的影响力越来越小。

India is putting its best face forward in reacting to the Maoists lead in the balloting for Nepal's special assembly. The results will determine the fate of the world's last Hindu kingdom. A Maoist victory is expected to doom the monarchy, and may see Nepal pursuing a foreign policy more independent of New Delhi.

　

印度尽量以积极的姿态来处理毛派组织在尼泊尔特别议会选举中取得领先地位的局面。这次选举结果将决定世界上最后一个印度教王国的命运。毛派的胜利将宣判尼泊尔王室的灭亡。尼泊尔有可能寻求更加独立于新德里的外交政策。

India's external affairs minister calls the results a "positive development" because the Maoists kept their pledge to participate in the election. India's ambassador in Kathmandu says his government will accept the mandate given by Nepal's people.

　

负责印度外交部长把尼泊尔的选举结果称为“积极的进步”，因为毛派兑现了他们参加选举的承诺。印度驻加德满都大使说，印度政府将接受尼泊尔人民的选举结果。

It is not just geographic ties - such as Indian rivers with sources in Nepal, and a porous border - that closely bind the two countries. Many Nepalese are ethnic Indians, and both countries have a Hindu religious majority.

　

印度的一些河流起源于尼泊尔，两国间还有松散的边境线。但是把印度和尼泊尔紧密联系在一起的不仅仅是地理因素。很多尼泊尔人是印度裔，而且印度教在两国都是主要宗教。

India's government paid little heed to the growing clout of the Maoists as the rebels fought a decade-long civil war to rid Nepal of the monarchy. The executive director of India's Institute for Conflict Management, Ajai Sahni, says no one in New Delhi expected the Maoists to perform so well in a free election.

　

尼泊尔毛派作为反叛组织为废除尼泊尔王室进行了长达10年的内战。在这期间，印度政府对毛派影响力的增长并没有给予多少关注。印度冲突管理研究所执行主任阿贾.萨尼说，谁也没有料到毛派会在一次自由选举中取得如此胜利。

"Certainly this has come as a shock to the establishment here," he said. "It was the Indian intelligence establishment and the Indian diplomatic establishment which had, in a sense, mid-wifed the agreement between a completely emasculated political formation, the seven-party alliance and an extremely violent and dominant Maoist grouping, without really thinking out the consequences."

　

他说：“当然，印度当局对此感到吃惊。从某种意义来说，印度的情报机构和外交机构在尼泊尔完全弱势的政治七党联盟和一个极端暴力、强势的毛派组织之间进行斡旋，促成他们至协议，但他们却没有真正考虑后果。”

That 2006 peace pact resulted in the Maoists, which the United States still regards as a terrorist group, laying down their arms and pledging to continue their battle through the political process.

　

2006年的和平协议规定毛派必须放下武装，并承诺藉由政治程序持续其诉求。毛派依旧被美国视为恐怖组织。

Analysts say a Maoist victory in Nepal will boost the hopes of India's Maoist rebels that they can eventually be victorious, as well.

　

分析人士说，尼泊尔毛派的胜利，将增进印度毛派反叛者的希望，使他们觉得最终亦可获得胜利。

With that in mind, India's establishment continued to ally itself with the Nepali Congress Party and the unpopular King Gyanendra, who has been stripped of power. But Congress Party politicians suffered stunning losses to the Maoists in many key districts in last Thursday's national election.

An intellectual with a history of serving as a middleman between Indian officials and Nepal's Maoists, Bishnu Pathak of the Conflict Study Center in Kathmandu, says two-way communication is currently under way.

　

长久以来充当印度官方与尼泊尔毛派协调人的学者，加德满都的冲突研究中心的比须努.帕塔克说，双边的沟通已经在进行。

"Maoists will not be that much offensive to this Indian government and Indian people too. Maoist and Indian diplomats are trying to have their improved relations to each other," Pathak said.

The Maoists have long called for renegotiating the 58-year-old India-Nepal Peace and Friendship Treaty. That agreement allows nationals of both countries to freely move across the border and own property. The pact has also effectively placed Nepal under India's security umbrella and prevented Nepal from making strategic ties with China, its other giant neighbor.

　

毛派老早就已经提出就已有58年历史的“印度-尼泊尔和平与友谊协定”重新进行谈判。根据这项协定，两国国民可以自由跨越边境并且购置资产。此协定实际上同时将尼泊尔至于印度的安全保护伞下，并防止尼泊尔与中国进行战略结盟。