World energy demand to soar
全球能源需求剧增

Strongest growth forecast for China, India
对中国、印度需求强烈增长的预测

Thursday, April 15, 2004 Posted: 0156 GMT (0956 HKT)

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -- World demand for all forms of energy is expected to grow by 54 percent over the next two decades, with oil consumption alone jumping by 40 million barrels a day, the U.S. government says.
华盛顿----美国政府称，二十年后，全球对各种形式能源需求预计将增长54%，每日石油消耗将跃至4千万桶。

☆ barrel 桶

The U.S. Energy Information Administration's long-term forecast to 2025 projects the strongest growth in energy use from developing countries, especially China and India, where buoyant economies will boost demand.
美国能源信息管理局对远到2025年的远期预测显示，发展中国家，尤其是中国和印度，良好的经济状况将刺激需求，使能源消耗强烈增长。

☆ developing countries 发展中国家

Energy use in developing countries is forecast to soar by 91 percent over the next two decades, while rising 33 percent in industrialized nations.
据预测，发展中国家能源消耗在接下来的二十年中将激增91%，而在发达工业化国家增长幅度为33%。

"Generally, the nations of the industrialized world can be characterized as mature energy consumers with comparatively slow population growth," the EIA, the Energy Department's analytical arm, said Wednesday.
周三，能源部门分析权威EIA称：“一般而言，工业化国家的特征为成熟的能源消耗伴随相对缓慢的人口增长”。

☆ arm 权威

These countries are also shifting from energy-intensive manufacturing to service industries, which means slower growth in energy use, it said.

World oil demand is forecast to rise from 81 million barrels per day (bpd) this year to 121 million bpd in 2025, with the United States, China and the rest of developing Asia soaking up almost 60 percent of those extra barrels, EIA said.

"Over the past several decades, oil has been the world's foremost source of primary energy consumption, and it is expected to remain in that position," the agency said.

To meet that demand, global oil production capacity would have to rise by 44 million bpd over current levels, it said.

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